Notes on engineering, trading, and general ideas. Trading posts are for education only and are not investment advice or recommendations to buy or sell equities.

Latest posts

2 published

Copper call spread: defined-risk HG upside

May 26, 2026

A 2-4 week HG copper options memo using a defined-risk call spread to express the tariff-premium and supply-risk thesis while capping downside at the debit.

Call spread2-4 weeksHGcommoditiescopperoptionsmacrorisk7 min

USD/JPY Short: waiting for the Carry Unwind

May 26, 2026

A conditional USD/JPY short needs a confirmed break below 157.50, lower U.S. yields, and follow-through toward 154-155 to become worth pressing.

Sell stop reversal2-4 weeksUSDJPYJPYfxmacropositioningrisk-reward5 min